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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Butler Bulldogs vs. Seton Hall Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Butler Bulldogsof Butler Bulldogs, Seton Hall Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Butler Bulldogs60c16,180$9,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,475.775,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Seton Hall Pirates23c9,008$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.031,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Seton Hall Pirates35c7,670$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.742,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seton Hall Pirates39c4,978$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.942,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates28c4,526$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Seton Hall Pirates35c3,815$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.3249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Butler Bulldogs58c3,320$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.8715556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Butler Bulldogs68c3,177$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.124544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seton Hall Pirates34c3,062$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.461,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Butler Bulldogs61c2,832$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.847965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6089…00e2backed Seton Hall Pirates7c2,688$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seton Hall Pirates27c2,347$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.571,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Seton Hall Pirates75c2,000$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Butler Bulldogs57c1,919$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.942,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seton Hall Pirates59c1,651$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.372,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seton Hall Pirates19c1,319$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.814,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Seton Hall Pirates73c1,160$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7915851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Butler Bulldogs28c1,083$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Seton Hall Pirates37c1,053$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.779235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Seton Hall Pirates32c1,040$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.81,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Butler Bulldogs27c1,001$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.7360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Butler Bulldogs69c992.47$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.722,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates72c868.37$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.8512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Seton Hall Pirates48c824.35$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates67c816.9$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.892,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Seton Hall Pirates18c678.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5419050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Seton Hall Pirates33c610.46$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.452524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Seton Hall Pirates32c537.5$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.591,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs72c531.75$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.323,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Butler Bulldogs28c468.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.771,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Seton Hall Pirates30c396$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.322,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Butler Bulldogs26c379.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.519950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Butler Bulldogs67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Butler Bulldogs56c221.41$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.541,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Seton Hall Pirates74c202.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Butler Bulldogs48c200.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.133,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Seton Hall Pirates28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cf…24d3backed Butler Bulldogs78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Butler Bulldogs47c194.72$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Butler Bulldogs26c171.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Butler Bulldogs66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0b…cdfcbacked Butler Bulldogs29c141.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Butler Bulldogs58c139.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2219332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Butler Bulldogs70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Butler Bulldogs15c129.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.062642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Seton Hall Pirates74c127$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.981,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Seton Hall Pirates11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Seton Hall Pirates47c121.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6623544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2af…4e5bbacked Seton Hall Pirates34c120.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Seton Hall Pirates71c111.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Seton Hall Pirates13c108.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Seton Hall Pirates69c103$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88d2…f50abacked Butler Bulldogs56c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Seton Hall Pirates20c100.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Butler Bulldogs26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7422552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Seton Hall Pirates34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.762753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Seton Hall Pirates31c90.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.082142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Seton Hall Pirates24c89.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Seton Hall Pirates72c78.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.312646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Seton Hall Pirates22c71.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6821342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb145…d650backed Butler Bulldogs80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4116…555abacked Butler Bulldogs74c67.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Seton Hall Pirates45c65.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Seton Hall Pirates73c50.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7610151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Butler Bulldogs26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Seton Hall Pirates49c46.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Seton Hall Pirates39c43.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176243.5%27 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6052…c0c3backed Seton Hall Pirates74c34.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Butler Bulldogs32c33.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.878737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Butler Bulldogs67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.896349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded3…b470backed Butler Bulldogs67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Butler Bulldogs65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9335…0c21backed Butler Bulldogs67c27.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f2…dc22backed Seton Hall Pirates69c26.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seton Hall Pirates71c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.752,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa71…d510backed Butler Bulldogs68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ca…eb95backed Seton Hall Pirates80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.