NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c707188591e98f8b687ace85e2ac4a5855d4db925144260663cd502fba9e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,130,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,072 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Red Wings | 51c | 118,132$60,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,674.04 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Red Wings | 48c | 115,161$54,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,317.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 100,448$49,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,101.13 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 46c | 59,853$27,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,320.55 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 53,072$28,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,658.91 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 42,500$22,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,100 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 49c | 33,313$16,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,048.04 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.91 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 22,810$11,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,861.19 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 21,435$11,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,575 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.95 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 49c | 19,470$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,930.55 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 17,719$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,456.64 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 16,000$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,309.96 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 15,929$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,416.49 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 15,180$8,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Red Wings | 45c | 12,260$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.13 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 46c | 9,239$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.12 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 48c | 9,000$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.97 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 7,140$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 46c | 6,953$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.73 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 6,834$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.72 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Red Wings | 49c | 6,767$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.17 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 6,666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 6,543$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.77 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.9 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Red Wings | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,798$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings | 46c | 5,568$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.72 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,457$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.08 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.97 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed Red Wings | 47c | 4,999$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,977$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Red Wings | 78c | 3,935$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 47c | 3,872$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.91 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 3,675$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,455$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,394$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.03 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,367$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.35 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 47c | 3,328$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.71 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,307$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…820abacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.95 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 3,000$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.64 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,965$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Red Wings | 41c | 2,900$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.21 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Red Wings | 37c | 2,656$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.09 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,553$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.51 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,447$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.14 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,389$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.43 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 2,263$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.65 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,236$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.27 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,119$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.26 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Red Wings | 47c | 2,064$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.83 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,035$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.2 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…10d4backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…3552backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…1029backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,767$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.92 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,766$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.9 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…4cc5backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,634$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,593$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.74 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…ecfbbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,559$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,548$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.33 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…a430backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,499$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…002cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,499$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…704ebacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…9cbabacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…cb7bbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…1702backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…3d00backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…d3a1backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…ff63backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…058abacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…2c4ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…6904backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…a38abacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…5f67backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…57f0backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,497$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…b897backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,497$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…9afcbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,496$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…7e8cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,496$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…4123backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,495$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.