NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd7559b412efa3aba724d58dcde1c78693750078705c08ec92c47e575733f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 54c | 16,099$8,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.73 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 7,574$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.59 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.14 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…6a71backed Over | 47c | 5,669$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…0cfbbacked Under | 53c | 5,571$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…6f82backed Under | 53c | 5,079$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…5f4ebacked Over | 47c | 5,060$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 4,027$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…c2b9backed Under | 53c | 3,715$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…8cf8backed Over | 47c | 3,703$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…b146backed Under | 53c | 3,328$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2da1backed Over | 47c | 3,258$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 53c | 3,237$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…179bbacked Under | 53c | 2,745$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…4184backed Over | 47c | 2,708$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…a569backed Over | 47c | 2,620$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…39b2backed Under | 53c | 2,618$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…4280backed Under | 53c | 2,541$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…c1aabacked Over | 47c | 2,531$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…eb28backed Under | 53c | 2,315$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52d…3ad5backed Over | 47c | 2,262$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…bae3backed Under | 53c | 2,235$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b00cbacked Over | 47c | 2,222$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e914backed Under | 53c | 2,109$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…97aebacked Over | 47c | 2,098$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 2,070$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.4 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.95 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 1,902$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.24 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…e9e5backed Under | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…1de8backed Over | 47c | 1,880$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b4…1e6bbacked Under | 53c | 1,858$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…58b0backed Over | 47c | 1,849$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…05f0backed Over | 47c | 1,759$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f5…06a8backed Under | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Over | 48c | 1,507$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.26 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 47c | 1,500$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…c08dbacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2585…eb6dbacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…106ebacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a6…5442backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…4406backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…5d04backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…9395backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…ecd3backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9b…2313backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…8118backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…c0a5backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…2e4cbacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…ae66backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…2816backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fa…5a20backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…61f6backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…1e5cbacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddb…bb1abacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…eb56backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…dc45backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…5d0ebacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2c…fbdbbacked Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…b3d9backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…29a3backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…2f30backed Under | 53c | 1,386$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…457dbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…6bf8backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…deb5backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…a522backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…b135backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…af2cbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…7a0fbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…be6fbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…46f2backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…c46bbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…9b27backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0233…e269backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…d4e5backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…7febbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…de3fbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…300dbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…928ebacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…1c40backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…da2dbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…bc63backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…6dd1backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…8796backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…f826backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…9244backed Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…f89cbacked Over | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…2e3abacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…fa68backed Under | 53c | 950.62$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…8635backed Under | 53c | 860.48$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d59backed Over | 47c | 780.9$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 742.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 643.97$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.87 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 48c | 587.58$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 419.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 376.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. Maple LeafsRed Wings won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.