TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Buffalo Bulls, Miami (OH) RedHawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks49c3,255$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami (OH) RedHawks72c3,199$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.523,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buffalo Bulls38c2,944$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.462,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Buffalo Bulls66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks69c1,405$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2543450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buffalo Bulls19c1,196$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.12,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Buffalo Bulls39c1,178$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.745831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Miami (OH) RedHawks34c1,122$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.7811958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks62c966.49$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.854757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Buffalo Bulls34c959.75$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.241,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Buffalo Bulls33c945.17$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3714027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Buffalo Bulls28c875$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Buffalo Bulls23c764.67$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.029442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buffalo Bulls62c747.32$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.351,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Buffalo Bulls18c729.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.88930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Buffalo Bulls17c724.12$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.113735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…08f5backed Buffalo Bulls3c700$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Miami (OH) RedHawks62c675.76$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls28c667.74$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.485,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Buffalo Bulls16c658.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf6…8a4dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Buffalo Bulls21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Buffalo Bulls11c500$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.857965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc419…5bb5backed Buffalo Bulls22c449.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami (OH) RedHawks44c448.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.342,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Buffalo Bulls39c438.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.441560%9 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x526f…cb37backed Buffalo Bulls5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Buffalo Bulls3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Buffalo Bulls46c380.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks32c353.3$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1541752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks31c323.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.393330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Buffalo Bulls30c304.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.571,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Miami (OH) RedHawks60c270.53$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.652,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks58c241.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Buffalo Bulls16c238.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.139744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Buffalo Bulls41c232$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.262,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6570…32ccbacked Buffalo Bulls46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks76c208.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Buffalo Bulls32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605018%9 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buffalo Bulls30c178.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.444,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Buffalo Bulls31c153.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Buffalo Bulls59c152$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a32…48ccbacked Buffalo Bulls9c145.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Buffalo Bulls21c144.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Buffalo Bulls18c135.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Miami (OH) RedHawks67c112.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0919057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…98e2backed Buffalo Bulls27c111.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa45…926dbacked Buffalo Bulls10c108.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Buffalo Bulls30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Buffalo Bulls32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa194…a62abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks60c83.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.75862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked Buffalo Bulls24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11a…59cbbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks75c80.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Buffalo Bulls32c74.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Buffalo Bulls41c73.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Buffalo Bulls21c71.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Buffalo Bulls24c65.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.819332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…d7c5backed Buffalo Bulls17c60.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+88.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Buffalo Bulls21c59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143060%18 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks70c53.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.969153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks58c51.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5953646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks78c51.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.279871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Buffalo Bulls34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks31c41.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9419237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c0…5ea6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks55c41.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Buffalo Bulls33c41.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.743,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…3695backed Buffalo Bulls43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddd…ccbdbacked Buffalo Bulls25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Buffalo Bulls40c39.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Buffalo Bulls57c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.952450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Buffalo Bulls55c36.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b8…1122backed Miami (OH) RedHawks78c34.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks74c31.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Buffalo Bulls68c29.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks80c27.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.567272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa71…d510backed Miami (OH) RedHawks68c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…1ddebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks74c17.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.