TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northwestern Wildcatsof Northwestern Wildcats, USC Trojans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked Northwestern Wildcats40c25,000$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,001.464560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats56c20,915$11,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,249.875,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Northwestern Wildcats41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,799.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+137.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed USC Trojans28c15,783$4,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.181,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed USC Trojans59c15,141$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed USC Trojans51c12,509$6,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,432.228639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans58c11,937$6,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.35,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x716d…4206backed USC Trojans57c8,739$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats50c7,010$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.242,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed USC Trojans73c6,947$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085.342,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked USC Trojans74c5,374$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.71,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…53e6backed USC Trojans42c5,060$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed USC Trojans60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Northwestern Wildcats36c4,446$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.667839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed USC Trojans54c3,908$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c35…f1eebacked USC Trojans9c3,769$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed USC Trojans58c3,448$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0019144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed USC Trojans2c3,300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8260%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed USC Trojans60c3,011$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.522,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Northwestern Wildcats27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb101…5024backed USC Trojans48c2,911$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.161250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed USC Trojans59c2,591$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa875…b385backed USC Trojans48c2,350$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed USC Trojans45c2,264$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.653237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed USC Trojans49c2,056$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Northwestern Wildcats27c1,840$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Northwestern Wildcats47c1,835$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed USC Trojans29c1,718$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1210041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked USC Trojans53c1,595$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.1661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed USC Trojans66c1,553$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02419057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked USC Trojans26c1,507$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.611,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats26c1,500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1102,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad8…fdffbacked Northwestern Wildcats41c1,446$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.993100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+287.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Trojans56c1,430$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.331,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats41c1,420$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.083,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked USC Trojans20c1,400$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.435545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed USC Trojans40c1,362$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.691,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats26c1,355$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.9112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Northwestern Wildcats53c1,320$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6417062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked USC Trojans68c1,200$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats37c1,178$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.834,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern Wildcats45c1,166$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.971,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans41c1,010$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.121,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Northwestern Wildcats27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73010047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Northwestern Wildcats53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43033.3%10 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Northwestern Wildcats28c874.9$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Northwestern Wildcats15c800$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6804825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed USC Trojans71c792.32$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.551,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeafa…d39abacked USC Trojans14c736.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed USC Trojans7c719.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked USC Trojans29c681.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed USC Trojans61c657.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Northwestern Wildcats26c627.31$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Northwestern Wildcats48c625.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.091346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed USC Trojans6c615.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.623033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats34c599.67$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.862,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Northwestern Wildcats58c514.06$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.744146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked USC Trojans38c488.29$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.551,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern Wildcats51c485.1$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.641,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7abc…9ff7backed Northwestern Wildcats41c482.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Northwestern Wildcats25c462$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed USC Trojans19c436.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.88140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked USC Trojans60c420.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.592070%14 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Northwestern Wildcats80c412.42$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8215557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked USC Trojans54c403.1$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Northwestern Wildcats40c400$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.436942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed USC Trojans47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.054949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Northwestern Wildcats26c390$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.626740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Northwestern Wildcats26c384$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1612733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed USC Trojans61c350$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4729442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed USC Trojans50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…8a1dbacked USC Trojans45c322.15$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Northwestern Wildcats44c308.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3224444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Northwestern Wildcats27c301$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…fd97backed Northwestern Wildcats53c272.41$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Northwestern Wildcats79c267.33$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed USC Trojans26c256.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Northwestern Wildcats26c250$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf413…807abacked Northwestern Wildcats51c241.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans36c240.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Northwestern Wildcats44c225.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9423331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked USC Trojans23c221.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed USC Trojans59c220$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4244955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked USC Trojans49c216.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.922948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Northwestern Wildcats45c216$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5172248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed USC Trojans24c210.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked USC Trojans45c206.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Northwestern Wildcats49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Northwestern Wildcats27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Northwestern Wildcats50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005050%25 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked USC Trojans47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b24…2d97backed USC Trojans59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed USC Trojans59c169.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed USC Trojans50c158.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.95837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Northwestern Wildcats55c155$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.752462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed USC Trojans27c151.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf363…45e0backed USC Trojans56c149.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed USC Trojans40c148.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.982748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…ff26backed Northwestern Wildcats71c148.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…3cc4backed Northwestern Wildcats54c144.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.