TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47ff…3cc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+145.4%+$19.87
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+235.7%+$61
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.47
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+322.7%+$35.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+80.9%+$10.43
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$114.33
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+382.2%+$75.81
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+32.3%+$6.66
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick38cpaid+100.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+82.8%+$40.6
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.4%+$1,215.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+106.4%+$57.44
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$51.37
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$180.57
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.3%+$93.05
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+158.9%+$48.74
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+87%+$96.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.9%+$45.06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+262.3%+$61.29
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+706.3%+$108.48
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+83.2%+$67.75
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.7%+$24.86
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+400%+$44
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$32.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.4%+$44.19
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+77.2%+$15.32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+165.2%+$127.35
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.18
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.8%+$66.56
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.1%+$14.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$83.12
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+73.6%+$21.16
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.3%+$4.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+315.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+315.9%+$45.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+68.4%+$8.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+30.7%+$14.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19sbacked USA Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.