Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35949df2956997f7c4656ce91fd10b0a75777ca81d153bfdaa9238baaa3ca866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 9c | 6,131$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.16 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 12c | 4,640$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.65 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 11c | 4,029$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.17 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Yes | 10c | 2,580$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 2,302$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 10c | 2,213$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 1,800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,756$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Yes | 11c | 1,289$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,173$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 10c | 1,080$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 7c | 914.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 8c | 818.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 12c | 810.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 15c | 745$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 35c | 674.59$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 8c | 662.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Yes | 5c | 645.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 9c | 629.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 10c | 608.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 30c | 578.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 7c | 560$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…fe74backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 418.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 4c | 399.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked Yes | 10c | 360$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 356.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Yes | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 16c | 284.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 9c | 266.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes | 11c | 235$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67e…b0cdbacked Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 11c | 161.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 8c | 156.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…42a1backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…496dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc63…a290backed Yes | 41c | 120.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…c933backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Yes | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Yes | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Yes | 10c | 106.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 103.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…8abebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 21c | 95.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Yes | 20c | 88.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 28c | 83.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 16c | 73.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Yes | 31c | 60.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…f662backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 25c | 47.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 80c | 32.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 41c | 30.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 71c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.