Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bb68f86830a30f160acbcfc388e4ca0f96683e2265b0d498bd9f6a29a1da6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 12c | 78,777$9,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,453.25 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 13c | 45,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.98 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 13c | 33,425$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.27 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 14c | 16,502$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 14c | 16,335$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 13c | 10,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 66c | 9,000$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 14c | 7,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 15c | 6,077$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.62 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 4,100$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 3,704$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 14c | 3,560$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.79 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 0c | 3,259$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 3,037$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.34 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked No | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…977abacked No | 14c | 1,847$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 11c | 1,698$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,570$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…cfc9backed No | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed No | 19c | 1,345$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 78c | 1,280$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…66b4backed Yes | 79c | 1,280$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 11c | 1,010$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…e300backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 14c | 999.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 15c | 945.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 14c | 862.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 862.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.08 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 15c | 799.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 755.21$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 14c | 748.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 16c | 728.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed No | 13c | 720$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 13c | 680.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 4c | 574$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 12c | 565.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 14c | 547.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…a6d4backed No | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 8c | 425.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 5c | 420$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 418$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed No | 45c | 400.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 16c | 392.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 28c | 370$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 13c | 363$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 14c | 353.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 6c | 339.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 11c | 337.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed No | 13c | 335.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 12c | 330$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 12c | 330$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed No | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 12c | 320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 78c | 307.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed No | 10c | 303.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 53c | 282.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 6c | 282.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 14c | 281.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed No | 14c | 280.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed No | 13c | 268.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 268.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 263$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 19c | 240.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 55c | 233.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 18c | 217.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 6c | 215.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.