Champions League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d149cccc87fb3eecef01ff62f7190db21c0f48f657b7f291ae8a262d0cb609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 25,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 4c | 13,881$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.62 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 5c | 10,005$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Yes | 5c | 7,240$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 7,174$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.14 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,239$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…cfc9backed Yes | 5c | 4,106$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 4,092$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 5c | 3,051$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 4c | 2,392$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 5c | 2,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…7ed7backed Yes | 5c | 2,012$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,804$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 4c | 1,546$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 5c | 1,270$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 5c | 999.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 4c | 986.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 891.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 5c | 845.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 4c | 779.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 5c | 685.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 2c | 645.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 4c | 602.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 4c | 559.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 5c | 553.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 515.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 4c | 501$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 496.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 5c | 448.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…f662backed Yes | 5c | 408.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a9acbacked Yes | 5c | 408.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…eda5backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…499dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 4c | 384.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 4c | 372.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 5c | 331.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…3803backed Yes | 5c | 322.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 4c | 303.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 289.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 5c | 261.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 4c | 260.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8384backed Yes | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…c266backed Yes | 4c | 256.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa199…1b4fbacked Yes | 5c | 254$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67e…b0cdbacked Yes | 4c | 250.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…d761backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1d…0fc8backed Yes | 5c | 230.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Yes | 5c | 201$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…496dbacked Yes | 10c | 105.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.