Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8466b1d829c81a15e62e75bbd2fbe8f3198984fde246a26ea3afe43bb15ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 8c | 9,950$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Yes | 6c | 7,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 4,050$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 8c | 2,760$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 7c | 2,213$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 6c | 2,095$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…c901backed Yes | 5c | 1,872$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,561$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…89e9backed Yes | 6c | 1,491$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,365$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…bef3backed Yes | 6c | 1,288$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 5c | 808$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 5c | 800.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 4c | 799.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 3c | 773.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 6c | 696.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 685.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 6c | 672.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 6c | 623.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 599.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Yes | 5c | 483.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 6c | 395$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 5c | 338$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed Yes | 7c | 287.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 7c | 268.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…ac09backed Yes | 6c | 255$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 201.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 7c | 173.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…ea29backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Yes | 7c | 165$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…fd19backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.