Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea681b5b073c661d57b0117ff86fe12579b5e17c7138e9980c103c36e8ad5a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Nova Esports | 51c | 19,094$9,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,340.98 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Nova Esports | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 10,897$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.42 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports | 52c | 6,126$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.05 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.91 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 4,494$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.98 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 3,868$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.3 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.88 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Nova Esports | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.9 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 1,947$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.65 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Nova Esports | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.05 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.85 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…4891backed Nova Esports | 52c | 1,873$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,667$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.03 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nova Esports | 70c | 1,649$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.63 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 1,609$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.92 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 1,546$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nova Esports | 52c | 1,530$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nova Esports | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.9 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,342$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.39 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nova Esports | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Nova Esports | 54c | 1,248$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.29 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Nova Esports | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Nova Esports | 50c | 1,117$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.91 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Nova Esports | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nova Esports | 52c | 1,006$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 964.37$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.54 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Nova Esports | 52c | 964.22$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.83 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nova Esports | 52c | 905.75$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.26 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 882.22$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 727.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Nova Esports | 54c | 721.41$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.57 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 699.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 685.9$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Nova Esports | 51c | 683.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 654.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 649.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.09 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 636.53$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.19 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 615.12$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nova Esports | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nova Esports | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 547.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nova Esports | 52c | 530.02$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 517.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Nova Esports | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Nova Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Nova Esports | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming | 15c | 496.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 479.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 54c | 465.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Nova Esports | 50c | 441.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 436.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Nova Esports | 51c | 419.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Nova Esports | 54c | 411.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…8380backed Nova Esports | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Nova Esports | 51c | 380.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 367.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 356.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 327.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…66f7backed Nova Esports | 52c | 306.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports | 49c | 300.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 63c | 285.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nova Esports | 54c | 282.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Nova Esports | 72c | 250.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Nova Esports | 53c | 245.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 244.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…71fbbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nova Esports | 53c | 212.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Nova Esports | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nova Esports | 72c | 208.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Nova Esports | 52c | 207.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…2b37backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe73…6d77backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4219backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9a…f58dbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…769ebacked Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…afdabacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…a0a7backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…ee81backed Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…db4abacked Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…5d19backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…e26bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…5d15backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Nova Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb63…bea4backed Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…7469backed Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…b1fbbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…f955backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.