Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b32b896cb3e96671aff173371143f7cbf0a0ab33fadf95a5c33935fa2433e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports | 47c | 3,997$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.04 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 32c | 1,782$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.18 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 1,317$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.08 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 1,170$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.79 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 1,004$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.54 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Nova Esports | 51c | 884.21$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 745.16$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.61 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 45c | 691.43$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.28 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Nova Esports | 48c | 609.08$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.08 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Nova Esports | 51c | 503.95$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 465.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 301.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 298.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 218.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Nova Esports | 34c | 217.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nova Esports | 38c | 205.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 199.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Nova Esports | 42c | 192.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nova Esports | 33c | 152.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports | 37c | 149.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 43c | 140.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 118.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked Nova Esports | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 92.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nova Esports | 43c | 90.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Nova Esports | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nova Esports | 49c | 79.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nova Esports | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nova Esports | 25c | 75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 35c | 43.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 39.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 34.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 32.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nova Esports | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 20.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 16.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)Nova Esports won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed DecidersNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.