Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe93c38c5148120c365331cf4bcad32fd53736e73fff864240b4eca20989f3904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality.Beeof Vitality.Bee, Karmine Corp Blue Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 47c | 2,115$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.48 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 46c | 1,811$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.25 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Vitality.Bee | 77c | 1,811$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.46 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Vitality.Bee | 68c | 1,684$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 32c | 1,532$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.54 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality.Bee | 58c | 1,283$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.68 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…3cabbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 5c | 1,203$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Vitality.Bee | 48c | 1,183$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.2 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…f585backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 33c | 1,150$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vitality.Bee | 57c | 1,087$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Vitality.Bee | 69c | 1,054$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.24 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Vitality.Bee | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…1300backed Vitality.Bee | 43c | 591.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 37c | 489.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 34c | 412.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 36c | 368$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa0…42c4backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 256$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 48c | 209.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 31c | 178.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Vitality.Bee | 48c | 175.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality.Bee | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Vitality.Bee | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 55c | 134.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Vitality.Bee | 50c | 129.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Vitality.Bee | 68c | 106.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Vitality.Bee | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Vitality.Bee | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Vitality.Bee | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 33c | 92.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 30c | 82.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed Vitality.Bee | 68c | 82.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Vitality.Bee | 65c | 82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Vitality.Bee | 64c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Vitality.Bee | 43c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Vitality.Bee | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Vitality.Bee | 62c | 65.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 44c | 65.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Vitality.Bee | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Vitality.Bee | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Vitality.Bee | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 32c | 42.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 36.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 60c | 34.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Vitality.Bee | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Vitality.Bee | 65c | 31.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…df7dbacked Vitality.Bee | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Vitality.Bee | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Vitality.Bee | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Vitality.Bee | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Vitality.Bee | 70c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…27debacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…6a3abacked Vitality.Bee | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.