TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No42c19,999$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.768944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes61c18,000$10,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0405538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c15,034$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,231.452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c14,355$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,857.9271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes59c13,100$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,430.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No39c10,861$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.684052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No41c10,073$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1304030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7469…cbc5backed Yes60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes59c9,667$5,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aae…4daabacked No40c8,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No40c6,698$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes61c6,004$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes75c4,011$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes57c3,961$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1dc…4a6bbacked Yes59c3,777$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee5…b07abacked No41c3,777$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c3,133$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.5862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes58c2,551$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.471729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes67c2,520$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.566648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c2,304$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.3887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No19c2,157$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No40c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.962835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No41c1,900$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No42c1,608$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.2423151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes67c1,497$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No42c1,433$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.663050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes58c1,400$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5841250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe845…f5abbacked Yes59c1,320$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No41c1,289$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.472157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes79c1,265$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes59c1,253$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.7314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes59c1,100$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.574362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No41c999.97$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d83…27afbacked No41c960$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No42c920$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.46141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c907$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes80c900$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Yes58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No35c644.4$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9133938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c643.75$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No41c629.84$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.164837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes59c567.8$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.83138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No41c509.92$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.072334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes59c509$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.474346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes75c489.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes58c470$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.45060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No40c455.09$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.043420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No40c433.22$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes59c426.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes59c420$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No42c419.56$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0210545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No41c410.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9329backed Yes59c377$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6b…068abacked No41c377$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594f…7d49backed Yes58c367.24$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021d…6502backed No41c360$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f79…be19backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes59c340$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf6…e4ecbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes59c338$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bd…8b45backed Yes74c337.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No41c337.21$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8410838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Yes59c336.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c318$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes60c292.37$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.372560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes80c280$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No41c271.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.314940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c260$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.381080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes59c231$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.715942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7980…dcdebacked Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes59c192.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.877540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f5…37bcbacked Yes58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No9c188.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.329535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes80c188.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.392483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked No41c185.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa626…5ca1backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b8…9e37backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Yes59c168.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.871163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No21c165.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3612343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes59c164.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes59c161.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.023458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes59c161.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes59c159.93$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.576762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No24c155.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.245322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.55162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.