Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652d92101fc810f2f9b0495931eaa2671b2367139a926c7ab21bc60099137549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 6,720$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 3,325$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.17 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 2,730$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.26 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,617$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,049$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.42 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,886$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 24c | 1,313$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 18c | 827.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 563$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 12c | 499.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 451.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 398.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 358.54$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 149.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 77.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 77c | 45.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.