NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8a1922121bda8d11bb9dfc8bc057d2d7e6f29876ac5762e55bdd7f88133759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 1,352$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.1 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 45c | 649.48$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 499.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Avangard Omsk | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 212.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8273…2fc4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…f475backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 204$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…3d70backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…ab26backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 202$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…a30cbacked Avangard Omsk | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…0876backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…dd93backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…ce4ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf0…60edbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…0fa6backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…f989backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 199$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6671…83acbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2463backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…c581backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…008bbacked Avangard Omsk | 54c | 134.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 121.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 42c | 96.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 88.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…f58dbacked Avangard Omsk | 48c | 51.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 49.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Avangard Omsk | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc050…6db3backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…5285backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Avangard Omsk | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.