Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e56190272756d035998381c9a8aece3d18fd9725860f38e38c0b7429696b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 71c | 8,754$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.69 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 3,390$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.79 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…e517backed Yes | 3c | 3,269$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 2c | 3,132$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 34c | 3,025$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.76 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Yes | 25c | 2,550$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,519$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.84 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,237$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.26 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 21c | 1,577$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 69c | 1,421$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 32c | 999.05$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 31c | 741.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 3c | 703.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 32c | 646.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 639.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 606$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes | 33c | 599.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed No | 70c | 569.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 556.72$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 527$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Yes | 29c | 470.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 2c | 466.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 31c | 451.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed No | 71c | 422.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed Yes | 22c | 416.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 68c | 392.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 375.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 68c | 371.74$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 335.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 30c | 329.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…5793backed Yes | 7c | 320$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 303.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 70c | 286.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 30c | 230$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 30c | 222.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 167.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…449cbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 30c | 147.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 146.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 9c | 138.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 134.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed Yes | 13c | 134.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 29c | 128.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…8c80backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…05b4backed No | 68c | 116.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…6f61backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 66.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…b440backed No | 71c | 63.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked No | 71c | 53.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…2daebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?Yes won
- Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.