TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x083c…3f02backed No67c90,010$60,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,703.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes33c86,680$28,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,604.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c21,119$14,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.0996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes34c12,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes8c11,086$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.872924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c10,688$7,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.9868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes22c10,000$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No66c6,343$4,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.452653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes34c4,684$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.576431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No66c4,425$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.53548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes34c4,406$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+141.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes33c2,091$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes10c2,003$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c1,802$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.5893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes33c1,520$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c1,159$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes2c1,096$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes8c1,071$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.673915.4%6 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No66c1,028$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes34c999.95$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c833$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No66c600.08$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes34c576.35$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.964131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes33c430.75$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No66c417$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.784953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c403.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1337830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c400.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c399.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes22c339.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c3a…e5d4backed No68c327.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4988…5772backed No68c232.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.355100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No66c205.93$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9216448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d1…cacfbacked No68c202.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…67b1backed No68c189.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.713100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc255…c3d8backed No68c189.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf3…6a9dbacked No68c179.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Yes33c172.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c169.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.034445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c161$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e96…d509backed No68c160.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.295100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes33c157.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed No68c154.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.415100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff20…08d2backed Yes16c126.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddf…814cbacked No68c123.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes33c111.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.93246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes33c111$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.639826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Yes35c108.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c108.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes33c101.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.433745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No67c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c97.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No67c94.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.635942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e91…ffdfbacked Yes34c84.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0514…4fefbacked Yes33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe0…e3e0backed No66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes33c78.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…0436backed No68c76.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No67c74.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.544163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes19c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b73…05b4backed No67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1710744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c49.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d2…6efcbacked No67c47.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c45.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8516251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4147…6b0abacked Yes34c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed No67c38.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed No66c37.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2123353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.