Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a36e1eed067892ddd57adff8e2a65e2f0be317a9bc188b0e26834a37af839a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 38,821$18,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,115.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 51c | 34,239$17,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,641.73 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,799.92 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 29,362$19,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,824.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 35c | 19,114$6,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 33c | 17,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,725 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked Yes | 66c | 14,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 13,743$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.2 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 34c | 11,737$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 11,469$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,575.43 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 54c | 11,035$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.72 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 45c | 8,336$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 7,496$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.35 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 67c | 6,806$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 6,648$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.03 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 6,432$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.8 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 6,140$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.52 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.96 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 35c | 5,752$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 5,042$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.13 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 78c | 4,430$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 34c | 4,022$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 3,766$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.03 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 3,220$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.65 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 3,070$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.21 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 66c | 3,029$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 61c | 3,010$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.8 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 34c | 2,931$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 33c | 2,709$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 2,201$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.1 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 67c | 2,010$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.5 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 65c | 1,914$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.1 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 36c | 1,905$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.97 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 45c | 1,821$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.15 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 66c | 1,735$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 67c | 1,413$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,365$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.55 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 1,363$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.95 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 67c | 1,350$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 35c | 1,343$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,339$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 34c | 1,287$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.26 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 35c | 1,265$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.24 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 67c | 1,167$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 80c | 1,158$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,044$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.41 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 35c | 1,012$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 67c | 999.95$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…7583backed Yes | 33c | 999.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 65c | 999.92$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.95 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 45c | 814.06$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 34c | 795.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 37c | 775.22$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.33 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 37c | 759.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 74c | 722.04$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 36c | 699.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.99 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…f2e3backed No | 68c | 691.02$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…7adfbacked Yes | 32c | 690.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 38c | 688.24$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 35c | 671.43$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 65c | 660.22$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked No | 62c | 644.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 630.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…62f4backed No | 32c | 624.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 37c | 607.28$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.59 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 34c | 588.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 67c | 567.16$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 32c | 563.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 66c | 549$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.34 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 76c | 541.1$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 34c | 540.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 64c | 526$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.64 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Yes | 34c | 514.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 66c | 512.2$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…2151backed Yes | 65c | 503.88$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 50c | 499.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 58c | 490.49$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.