Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb057bbcdc7a61f9f62fbba8fc0bed20ce92a84746f1a981154b3e37265742f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,616,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,889,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,616,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 42c | 2,248,062$948,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948,400.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 548,087$322,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,950.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 57c | 465,116$265,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,999.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 387,261$220,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,449.13 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 58c | 200,000$115,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 135,734$81,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,553.14 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 59c | 125,000$73,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,650 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,999.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 59c | 62,932$36,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,110.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 57,500$33,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 59c | 49,800$29,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,418 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 39,628$23,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,247.5 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 58c | 36,666$21,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed No | 59c | 36,300$21,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,847.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No | 58c | 34,846$20,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,635.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 32,010$19,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,994.16 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 57c | 30,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…36d9backed No | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 58c | 28,144$16,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,756.89 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 28,133$16,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,565.28 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 21,299$12,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,417.01 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 58c | 20,000$11,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 58c | 20,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 59c | 17,837$10,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 60c | 16,064$9,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.81 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked No | 58c | 15,494$8,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 15,490$9,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.94 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 58c | 14,939$8,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 13,544$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968.97 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 58c | 13,473$7,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 13,000$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 60c | 12,633$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,053.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 12,035$7,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.83 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 58c | 11,801$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.07 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 59c | 11,111$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 60c | 10,342$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.19 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 58c | 8,964$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 8,695$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.95 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 58c | 8,515$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…e347backed Yes | 10c | 8,107$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 40c | 6,024$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.86 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 5,937$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.07 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed No | 58c | 5,603$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 58c | 4,957$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.58 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 59c | 4,877$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.84 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 60c | 4,764$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…8167backed Yes | 42c | 4,473$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 4,273$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.26 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 61c | 4,162$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.32 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…a392backed No | 58c | 3,672$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 3,629$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.85 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 3,619$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.37 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 13c | 3,102$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…3d87backed No | 59c | 3,071$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 3,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 58c | 2,957$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 2,821$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 58c | 2,760$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 58c | 2,564$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.26 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 59c | 2,490$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 60c | 2,466$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed No | 59c | 2,444$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Yes | 39c | 2,160$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 24c | 2,156$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 59c | 2,066$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.14 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Yes | 40c | 2,020$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,992$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,700$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 37c | 1,647$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.17 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…66b4backed Yes | 40c | 1,375$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…30b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,311$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…3e77backed Yes | 12c | 1,267$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed No | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…602ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,168$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 60c | 1,145$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 59c | 1,143$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 59c | 1,076$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…9b55backed Yes | 41c | 1,044$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1593backed No | 61c | 1,015$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 59c | 994.64$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed No | 58c | 909.09$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 60c | 900$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed No | 58c | 863$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d6a1backed Yes | 41c | 859$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.