Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae657525f9f4e1fe7b27e79781501b24b17b98fadd362b6b3db898b0d9b74b6

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $142,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes	28c	23,000$6,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,380	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	72c	22,924$16,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,418.61	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No	74c	14,604$10,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,843.93	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	28c	9,165$2,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,566.62	199	34.7%69 W · 130 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	19c	7,526$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.77	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No	73c	6,900$5,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,863	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	21c	6,525$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.06	848	50.8%431 W · 417 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	80c	5,459$4,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.62	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	26c	4,883$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.77	919	50.9%468 W · 451 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes	27c	4,114$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.33	100	55%55 W · 45 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Yes	27c	3,463$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	26c	2,557$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.82	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Yes	26c	2,521$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.51	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	19c	1,676$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.08	80	27.5%22 W · 58 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes	25c	1,623$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-10.4wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	26c	1,500$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	219	25.6%56 W · 163 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes	24c	1,500$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	46c	1,179$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.28	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	72c	1,154$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.12	351	58.1%204 W · 147 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…81b8backed Yes	22c	1,136$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Yes	11c	1,045$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No	57c	1,002$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.41	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882f…7583backed Yes	27c	1,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	133	27.8%37 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebee…3278backed No	76c	642.69$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes	21c	631.77$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	21c	565.56$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.45	522	43.9%229 W · 293 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	27c	536.66$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.9	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	53c	528.24$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.29	795	32.2%256 W · 539 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3098…20e8backed Yes	25c	498$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes	26c	450$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	17c	442.74$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.88	769	41.9%322 W · 447 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes	25c	439$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.75	180	49.4%89 W · 91 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes	26c	382.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.0wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes	21c	365.4$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.73	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No	74c	331.69$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.24	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes	27c	327$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.16	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes	26c	307.69$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Yes	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	21c	259.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.87	428	44.9%192 W · 236 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaef…b9e3backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes	26c	240$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	139	20.1%28 W · 111 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd53a…3d5abacked Yes	28c	231.25$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee3b…88dfbacked No	79c	220.51$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes	24c	207.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-58%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No	72c	206.73$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.88	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	8c	202.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	783	44.8%351 W · 432 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes	26c	200.69$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.18	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes	20c	192.38$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes	26c	182$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.82	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	274	37.2%102 W · 172 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	76c	179.55$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb4…0c99backed Yes	22c	174.89$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes	28c	160.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked No	79c	150$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes	24c	150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x097a…13a4backed Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes	25c	145.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.37	200	50%100 W · 100 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd73e…021cbacked Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes	20c	137.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes	19c	133.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b3…c933backed Yes	22c	131.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes	24c	130$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	72c	122.07$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.18	103	60.2%62 W · 41 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes	28c	112.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62bc…ac5fbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed No	79c	101.77$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.37	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-9.5wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-41%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52be…af6dbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Yes	27c	96.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes	26c	95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b92…b96bbacked Yes	21c	89.92$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Yes	27c	81.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0982…7ab7backed No	74c	81.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	79c	70$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	234	61.5%144 W · 90 L	+26.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes	28c	68.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	122	58.2%71 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3056…678bbacked Yes	27c	68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes	25c	66.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No	80c	65.1$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.27	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f4…f7afbacked Yes	27c	65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes	27c	60.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae98…b913backed Yes	27c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes	21c	57.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event