Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803dce379f5746b04ff6b034dffa950616023015727957e8daa29eeca8a32926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Virginia Tech Hokies, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Syracuse Orange | 45c | 6,165$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.99 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Syracuse Orange | 63c | 5,598$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 37c | 5,491$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.59 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 4,582$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 3,679$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.07 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Syracuse Orange | 1c | 3,462$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 34c | 3,370$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.82 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse Orange | 47c | 2,943$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.38 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 2,750$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.22 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Syracuse Orange | 53c | 2,021$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Syracuse Orange | 43c | 1,791$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange | 64c | 1,606$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Syracuse Orange | 58c | 1,568$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.63 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 1,485$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.26 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 61c | 1,222$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 1,182$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.69 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Syracuse Orange | 62c | 1,179$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.99 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 28c | 1,060$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.57 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 39c | 981.63$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Syracuse Orange | 49c | 965$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 39c | 910.56$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.44 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange | 69c | 698.46$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Syracuse Orange | 22c | 696.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 39c | 675.79$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.23 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 650$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Syracuse Orange | 48c | 606.86$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 36c | 534$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Syracuse Orange | 45c | 510.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Syracuse Orange | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Syracuse Orange | 58c | 399.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 34c | 331.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 33c | 280$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 39c | 274.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Syracuse Orange | 43c | 253.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 231$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 220.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Syracuse Orange | 59c | 199.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Syracuse Orange | 61c | 190$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 36c | 184$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Syracuse Orange | 54c | 169.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 146.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 135.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Syracuse Orange | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 39c | 126.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Syracuse Orange | 75c | 126$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 34c | 116$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Syracuse Orange | 65c | 104.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Syracuse Orange | 60c | 93.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 24c | 82.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…19a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Syracuse Orange | 75c | 66.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Syracuse Orange | 55c | 62.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Syracuse Orange | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 38c | 51.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…3cc4backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 71c | 50.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 38c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 35.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Syracuse Orange | 49c | 29.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Syracuse Orange | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9432…42a3backed Syracuse Orange | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Syracuse Orange | 75c | 25.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…cd17backed Syracuse Orange | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Syracuse Orange | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Syracuse Orange | 62c | 18.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Syracuse Orange | 70c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Syracuse Orange | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangethis page
- Spread: Syracuse Orange (-3.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.