TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c23,255$12,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,180.536,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed No32c12,621$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,613.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb063…94adbacked Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…1008backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes0c10,059$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Yes79c8,797$6,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,976.211421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes60c5,522$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.083148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c3,466$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.321,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c3,005$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.324,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf422…ea56backed Yes20c2,600$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No69c2,350$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.533647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c1,894$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.611,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No43c1,490$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.581844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c1,196$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.711,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No57c1,146$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2210051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes66c1,015$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.4640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fc…b59ebacked Yes4c999.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.95616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c984.57$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.972,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.097237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.297436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c677.71$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.492,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked No34c514.85$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.855837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes33c505$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2ad0…e7c3backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No67c445.98$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yes30c426.67$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No66c403$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.397946.8%37 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes32c399.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12820144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes28c359$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No54c333.07$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7113447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes67c308.88$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.951758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes33c303.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.128944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes34c294.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9924158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed No35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.714134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes7c271.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes14c252.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5920931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed No34c252.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.484548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebd…16d5backed Yes80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed No36c246.17$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No70c225$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c211.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.431,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6365557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6360557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6337557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked Yes7c201.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed No23c199.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.874932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No36c198.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.994438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes34c187.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8912252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1060…8393backed Yes27c186.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.322231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes66c179.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.211557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes33c168.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5512048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No70c165$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No70c165$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Yes49c164.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.63951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes32c158.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5720027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7825…89a0backed Yes28c153.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.831643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes66c151.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009455.3%52 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes23c150.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c150.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.41,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed No66c149.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.999756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes25c147.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.710820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3d…660cbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2b…b582backed Yes66c143.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Yes65c139.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.391711.8%2 W · 15 L-7.4wins-0.43per pick55cpaid-79.8%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No40c136.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.337740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3661…e41bbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c125$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No67c124.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.052548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No73c123.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.32429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes29c123.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.377534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes64c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.812055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed No34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6510539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes33c104.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5312241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed No34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.943240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3029259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3636563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No70c95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.