TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac3d…660c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.58
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.92
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.85
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$20.25
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+64.3%+$25.15
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Yulia Putintseva vs Dalma Galfibacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.25
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.46
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.85
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.15
Australian Open Men's: Oliver Crawford vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+67.8%+$26.47
Australian Open Men's: Zsombor Piros vs Lukas Kleinbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48.3%+$15.73
Australian Open Women's: Sinja Kraus vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+315.7%+$82.08
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.9%+$7.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$34.83
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.27
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.78
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.68
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$18.85
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.5%+$30.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.