TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkari

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kasatkinaof Kasatkina, Sakkari
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8049…1e6cbacked Sakkari25c5,937$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sakkari20c4,900$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.12,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Sakkari3c4,593$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4613834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Sakkari29c3,069$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina71c2,944$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.932,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sakkari22c2,877$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Sakkari35c2,762$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9606937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Kasatkina39c2,535$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.6243051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sakkari38c2,372$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.3165558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Kasatkina69c2,361$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.4913652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Kasatkina68c2,221$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.751,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Kasatkina70c2,194$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5929654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sakkari18c2,083$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.2211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Sakkari11c2,083$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.135349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Sakkari49c2,055$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sakkari42c1,790$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.732,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c60…9c5ebacked Kasatkina46c1,558$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sakkari30c1,452$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.022,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Kasatkina52c1,296$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47c…351abacked Sakkari1c1,214$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Sakkari44c1,144$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0110043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Sakkari22c910.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kasatkina41c907$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.4355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kasatkina63c903.8$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.892,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Sakkari47c874.28$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7226045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Kasatkina55c774.91$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7121843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Kasatkina52c649.86$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0232031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Sakkari34c618.12$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Sakkari58c608$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.642259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849a…44aabacked Kasatkina66c600.09$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sakkari6c546.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.491,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Sakkari49c540.58$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sakkari42c536.59$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sakkari61c535.5$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6624846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Sakkari48c534.35$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4911123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Kasatkina62c524.73$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.896046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sakkari31c479.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9227627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Sakkari14c459.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.652050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Sakkari10c458.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.582152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sakkari41c455$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2547057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Sakkari34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Kasatkina28c428.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.794124.4%10 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Kasatkina48c420$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.83745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kasatkina67c418.69$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.318250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Sakkari34c413.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.697427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Sakkari59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2361,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Sakkari21c399.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.996533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kasatkina61c399.18$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.997,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina68c397.96$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.681,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Sakkari76c393.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006869.1%47 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Kasatkina62c392.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.310943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Sakkari51c361.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2934745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Kasatkina50c328.6$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Sakkari61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked Sakkari38c314$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.326929%20 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Sakkari20c300.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591520%3 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Sakkari60c300.05$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9712861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kasatkina38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.231,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Kasatkina53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kasatkina44c296.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.522,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Kasatkina75c289.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.146259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kasatkina47c272.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.981,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Sakkari38c263.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997618.4%14 W · 62 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Kasatkina56c258$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kasatkina67c250.58$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.297,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Kasatkina51c249.02$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.025225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Sakkari9c243.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.088713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sakkari48c235.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Kasatkina66c235$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.921448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdc…c974backed Kasatkina39c217.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.065160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Kasatkina48c210.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0910743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Sakkari47c205.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Kasatkina55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…ee68backed Kasatkina38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Kasatkina35c199.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.991,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Kasatkina56c178.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Sakkari46c175.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5615951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Sakkari60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Kasatkina59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4913850.7%70 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Sakkari21c167.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Sakkari27c162.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Sakkari20c161.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.923545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sakkari47c151.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7121949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sakkari9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Sakkari47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Sakkari57c126$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.346058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Kasatkina67c125$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b1…e667backed Kasatkina58c121.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kasatkina42c119.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Kasatkina77c119.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0328726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sakkari40c118.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.896918.8%13 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Sakkari54c113.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.037644.7%34 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Sakkari35c111.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3938739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Sakkari58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Sakkari47c102.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08be…2728backed Sakkari60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Sakkari36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3659348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d88…0f4cbacked Sakkari59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Kasatkina62c97.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.382650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc128…86dabacked Sakkari46c96.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.