Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29a7abf3ec09869768fefb3f1027f4481e23a39528257871de3c7be689383ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kasatkinaof Kasatkina, Sakkari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Sakkari | 25c | 5,937$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sakkari | 20c | 4,900$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Sakkari | 3c | 4,593$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Sakkari | 29c | 3,069$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina | 71c | 2,944$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sakkari | 22c | 2,877$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Sakkari | 35c | 2,762$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Kasatkina | 39c | 2,535$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.62 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sakkari | 38c | 2,372$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.31 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Kasatkina | 69c | 2,361$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.49 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Kasatkina | 68c | 2,221$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.75 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Kasatkina | 70c | 2,194$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.59 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sakkari | 18c | 2,083$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Sakkari | 11c | 2,083$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Sakkari | 49c | 2,055$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sakkari | 42c | 1,790$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Kasatkina | 46c | 1,558$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sakkari | 30c | 1,452$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.02 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Kasatkina | 52c | 1,296$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.61 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…351abacked Sakkari | 1c | 1,214$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Sakkari | 44c | 1,144$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.01 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Sakkari | 22c | 910.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kasatkina | 41c | 907$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.43 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kasatkina | 63c | 903.8$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.89 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Sakkari | 47c | 874.28$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.72 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kasatkina | 55c | 774.91$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.71 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Kasatkina | 52c | 649.86$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Sakkari | 34c | 618.12$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Sakkari | 58c | 608$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked Kasatkina | 66c | 600.09$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sakkari | 6c | 546.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sakkari | 49c | 540.58$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.41 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sakkari | 42c | 536.59$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sakkari | 61c | 535.5$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Sakkari | 48c | 534.35$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Kasatkina | 62c | 524.73$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sakkari | 31c | 479.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Sakkari | 14c | 459.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Sakkari | 10c | 458.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sakkari | 41c | 455$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Sakkari | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Kasatkina | 28c | 428.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Kasatkina | 48c | 420$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kasatkina | 67c | 418.69$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Sakkari | 34c | 413.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sakkari | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Sakkari | 21c | 399.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kasatkina | 61c | 399.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina | 68c | 397.96$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Sakkari | 76c | 393.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Kasatkina | 62c | 392.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Sakkari | 51c | 361.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Kasatkina | 50c | 328.6$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Sakkari | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Sakkari | 38c | 314$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Sakkari | 20c | 300.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Sakkari | 60c | 300.05$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Kasatkina | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Kasatkina | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kasatkina | 44c | 296.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Kasatkina | 75c | 289.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kasatkina | 47c | 272.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Sakkari | 38c | 263.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Kasatkina | 56c | 258$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kasatkina | 67c | 250.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Kasatkina | 51c | 249.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Sakkari | 9c | 243.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sakkari | 48c | 235.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Kasatkina | 66c | 235$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Kasatkina | 39c | 217.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Kasatkina | 48c | 210.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Sakkari | 47c | 205.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Kasatkina | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…ee68backed Kasatkina | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kasatkina | 35c | 199.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Kasatkina | 56c | 178.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Sakkari | 46c | 175.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sakkari | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Kasatkina | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Sakkari | 21c | 167.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Sakkari | 27c | 162.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Sakkari | 20c | 161.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sakkari | 47c | 151.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sakkari | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Sakkari | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Sakkari | 57c | 126$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Kasatkina | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Kasatkina | 58c | 121.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kasatkina | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Kasatkina | 77c | 119.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sakkari | 40c | 118.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Sakkari | 54c | 113.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Sakkari | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Sakkari | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Sakkari | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…2728backed Sakkari | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Sakkari | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…0f4cbacked Sakkari | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Kasatkina | 62c | 97.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Sakkari | 46c | 96.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkarithis page
- Kasatkina vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs SakkariKasatkina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.