TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kraken, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,590,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,603,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,590,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken44c574,754$252,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,862.3210840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Rangers56c501,824$282,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,264.044654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Rangers57c250,000$142,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,328.9415953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Rangers56c230,000$128,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,799.8410349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Kraken43c160,000$69,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,399.9767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers56c151,651$84,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,924.6222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kraken43c73,924$32,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,872.4228353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Rangers56c59,700$33,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,4328657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken43c45,571$19,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,975.3222150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers56c45,000$25,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,349.9319555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken13c40,348$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,108.1432744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Kraken43c37,004$15,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,092.138354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e6…6894backed Kraken44c34,091$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,090.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken45c34,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,70048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kraken43c33,591$14,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,146.6956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kraken44c31,780$13,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,796.848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kraken46c23,608$10,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,812.051,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken13c22,472$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,550.311,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kraken43c21,110$9,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,023.4761953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Rangers55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rangers56c19,288$10,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,705.7547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kraken44c17,500$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken43c16,618$7,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,454.982,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken43c15,109$6,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,566.862,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kraken43c14,321$6,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,163.228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kraken45c13,400$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,37015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Kraken43c12,143$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,893.238247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken43c11,368$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,430.081,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Kraken44c11,077$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.3621850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Kraken44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken37c9,864$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.7838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken43c8,900$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Kraken43c8,140$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.538134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kraken25c8,011$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,989.2933345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken45c6,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5751,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kraken44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9261748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Rangers54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.2430944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kraken44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35026344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Kraken43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8505152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kraken43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rangers55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Kraken44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5206653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kraken43c4,447$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.3720552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Kraken47c4,254$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.6111953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Kraken43c4,076$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.322941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Kraken44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Rangers59c3,943$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.045364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers56c3,640$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Kraken44c3,400$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90438046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Kraken45c3,244$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.4426946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Rangers68c3,203$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.383964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kraken23c3,066$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.0629926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kraken43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rangers55c2,824$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.3727243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken49c2,596$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.1695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Rangers54c2,520$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.86958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rangers56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Kraken43c2,477$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.745855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Rangers57c2,300$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31122946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kraken44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7315145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Kraken44c2,176$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.773647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken14c2,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.781,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken53c1,876$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.8123047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken40c1,798$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.341,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kraken43c1,750$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Kraken44c1,705$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.559846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kraken32c1,688$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.9334538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89624845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Kraken43c1,600$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9123953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kraken43c1,564$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.4126955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken43c1,564$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.41,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c1,555$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.557450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Kraken44c1,554$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.8614347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kraken33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd5…1c55backed Rangers65c1,477$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kraken44c1,334$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.688450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Kraken43c1,228$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9625045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kraken36c1,219$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.222,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rangers41c1,209$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8643742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken55c1,201$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.091,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Kraken43c1,165$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.057138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rangers56c1,154$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.051,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Rangers56c1,136$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.163141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Kraken13c1,122$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.1410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Rangers56c1,098$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6158543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kraken43c1,069$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3345751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…80d2backed Rangers57c1,054$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kraken44c1,024$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.9393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Rangers55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Kraken43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Rangers56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kraken44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.