NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0743386735c160cac4c0ed57d1064b07ddf7c6ea56298f1866eafb1566aca6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.74 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 3,300$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.55 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 46c | 1,807$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.03 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 1,726$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Under | 46c | 1,481$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Under | 46c | 1,481$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Over | 54c | 1,435$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Under | 46c | 1,435$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,428$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Over | 54c | 1,337$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Under | 46c | 1,337$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 928.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 759.22$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 379.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 358.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 45c | 201.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 55c | 189.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 54c | 156.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 95.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 91.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 55c | 91.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 45c | 77.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef4…96dfbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 56.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 52c | 54.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 41.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 46c | 40.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 40.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 47c | 36.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…a4c5backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…fe96backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…8e54backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Under | 48c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. RangersKraken won
- Kraken vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.