Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef18738ca7559fe2eed0c7ae2feed9563dd29f971d9a461565540271e525b61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 6,712$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 5,093$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 5,000$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.81 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6963…4eedbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 920.39$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 870.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Falcons | 80c | 853.14$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 79c | 782.67$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 713.72$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 706.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 604$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 531.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…2b45backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 511.82$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 493$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…9f9bbacked Virtus.pro | 7c | 444.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 426.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Falcons | 73c | 418$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 414.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 393.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 390.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 382$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 79c | 370$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons | 75c | 334.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Falcons | 80c | 330.48$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Falcons | 79c | 325.22$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 310.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 307.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…a0fdbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 299.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…cf6cbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 271.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 250.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 239.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Virtus.pro | 4c | 236.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 220.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 218$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 206.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 200.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc21…5af6backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 187.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Team Falcons | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 174.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d5d7backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 172.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 165.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 163.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 162.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…8102backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 147.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 139.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Team Falcons | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 129.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 126.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 117.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 101.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 93.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 85.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 81.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 69.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3d…660cbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 37.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 33.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Team Falcons | 77c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Team Falcons | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…9a41backed Team Falcons | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…01afbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Team Falcons | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…d1dbbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.