Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a16a5dad244486e74d3ee2f9cd7ad9cfc09e3de8561d2267f64ae2710e1cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3719…2df0backed 1win | 58c | 13,464$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.59 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked AVULUS | 47c | 8,203$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AVULUS | 27c | 5,401$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.71 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AVULUS | 19c | 5,090$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed AVULUS | 2c | 4,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 1c | 3,751$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed 1win | 59c | 3,239$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed 1win | 63c | 2,915$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.95 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed AVULUS | 43c | 2,694$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.38 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed AVULUS | 42c | 2,379$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked AVULUS | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.67 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…affbbacked AVULUS | 10c | 1,800$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked 1win | 76c | 1,694$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 1win | 77c | 1,634$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.45 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked AVULUS | 10c | 1,563$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed AVULUS | 38c | 1,500$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.24 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed 1win | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 1win | 78c | 1,305$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed 1win | 45c | 1,270$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.7 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AVULUS | 28c | 1,098$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed 1win | 72c | 1,038$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked AVULUS | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed AVULUS | 56c | 984.95$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.2 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked 1win | 57c | 874.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AVULUS | 41c | 837.03$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.27 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed 1win | 77c | 829.13$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed AVULUS | 24c | 823.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.87 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed AVULUS | 39c | 805.61$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked AVULUS | 25c | 800.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed AVULUS | 17c | 752.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed 1win | 56c | 744$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed 1win | 67c | 704.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed 1win | 57c | 684.87$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…ca20backed 1win | 67c | 622.29$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…411dbacked AVULUS | 38c | 538.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed AVULUS | 56c | 525.86$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…cedcbacked AVULUS | 22c | 489$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked AVULUS | 20c | 472$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win | 59c | 417.67$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed AVULUS | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AVULUS | 17c | 380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…d32fbacked 1win | 80c | 344.52$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked AVULUS | 38c | 337.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…23cabacked 1win | 57c | 335.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed AVULUS | 27c | 330.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked 1win | 66c | 311.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed AVULUS | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed 1win | 68c | 295.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked AVULUS | 32c | 275$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked 1win | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed AVULUS | 56c | 267.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed AVULUS | 28c | 254.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed AVULUS | 48c | 253.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…16b1backed 1win | 78c | 246$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed 1win | 66c | 244.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…0fc3backed 1win | 78c | 243$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed AVULUS | 62c | 223.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 1win | 64c | 223.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed AVULUS | 37c | 217.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed 1win | 76c | 216$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 1win | 72c | 209.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 1win | 76c | 203.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed 1win | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked 1win | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed AVULUS | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 66c | 197.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 1win | 56c | 183.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e85ebacked 1win | 65c | 179.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed 1win | 68c | 169.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked 1win | 47c | 169.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed AVULUS | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed AVULUS | 11c | 159.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed 1win | 61c | 151.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…2c19backed 1win | 44c | 149.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked AVULUS | 29c | 143.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked 1win | 70c | 142.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 55c | 141.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked 1win | 62c | 135.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed AVULUS | 35c | 131.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed AVULUS | 38c | 131.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed AVULUS | 21c | 129.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed 1win | 74c | 129.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked 1win | 56c | 128.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed 1win | 48c | 128.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed 1win | 79c | 126.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked AVULUS | 40c | 123.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed AVULUS | 22c | 120.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked 1win | 73c | 117.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed AVULUS | 39c | 116.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked AVULUS | 24c | 110.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…01afbacked 1win | 71c | 108.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed 1win | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed AVULUS | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed AVULUS | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked AVULUS | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked 1win | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed AVULUS | 41c | 97.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed AVULUS | 63c | 95.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed AVULUS | 42c | 91.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed 1win | 52c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerAVULUS won
- Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.