Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Zsombor Piros vs Lukas Klein
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7838253c40cb069f0268750242a8a06fb8fbc37aea8581ee816dc171deefefa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kleinof Piros, Klein
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Piros | 0c | 6,666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Piros | 50c | 2,500$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Piros | 54c | 1,054$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Klein | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Piros | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Klein | 50c | 497.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Piros | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Piros | 17c | 394.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Piros | 37c | 254.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…eeafbacked Piros | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…5f61backed Klein | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…3722backed Klein | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a6…5389backed Piros | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Klein | 54c | 184.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Piros | 36c | 140.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Klein | 63c | 131$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Piros | 11c | 111.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Piros | 46c | 96.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Klein | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Klein | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac3d…660cbacked Klein | 67c | 48.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Klein | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Klein | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.