NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97d8d7911aca82fa8cc9c94ee1256ebcfa16a27851a75c70ebde9b735949b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof Lada Togliatti, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Lada Togliatti | 31c | 818$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 30c | 816.7$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…2ca3backed Lada Togliatti | 31c | 787$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked Lada Togliatti | 31c | 683$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c3e0backed Lada Togliatti | 31c | 670$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…03c1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 567$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed SKA St. Petersburg | 70c | 510.74$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 404$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 403$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…106ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 384$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 279$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…cf22backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 251$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Lada Togliatti | 29c | 118.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…f3b1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 71c | 118.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb5…a05bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 68c | 88.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lada Togliatti | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Lada Togliatti | 23c | 52.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3d…660cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 70c | 42.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…2a42backed SKA St. Petersburg | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 70c | 20.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.