Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa714fa2cae009525e707707d383d3a0001b46c29241a5621efe81a5a480df224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baezof Nava, Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nava | 55c | 14,746$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Baez | 51c | 7,417$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.52 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nava | 55c | 7,233$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Baez | 57c | 6,381$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.15 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nava | 54c | 5,448$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.7 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Baez | 20c | 5,016$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.01 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Baez | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Baez | 22c | 4,692$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Baez | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nava | 51c | 3,589$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.87 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Baez | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.33 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Baez | 44c | 3,358$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nava | 68c | 2,836$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.79 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nava | 44c | 2,793$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Nava | 56c | 2,500$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.6 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nava | 54c | 2,274$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.79 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Baez | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Baez | 20c | 2,083$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nava | 58c | 1,932$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.29 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Baez | 39c | 1,800$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Nava | 58c | 1,750$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.5 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Baez | 46c | 1,512$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.55 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Baez | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.32 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Baez | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.9 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…5f4fbacked Nava | 59c | 1,430$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Baez | 46c | 1,348$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.03 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Baez | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Baez | 44c | 1,216$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.8 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nava | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nava | 53c | 1,062$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.79 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Baez | 49c | 1,040$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.44 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Baez | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Baez | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Nava | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Baez | 32c | 986.16$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.53 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Nava | 47c | 957.38$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.54 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Baez | 32c | 946.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Baez | 55c | 928.5$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Baez | 20c | 899.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.02 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Nava | 56c | 896.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Nava | 38c | 895.88$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Baez | 40c | 849.72$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.73 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nava | 46c | 827.89$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.01 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Baez | 21c | 765.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.62 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Nava | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Baez | 57c | 669.86$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Baez | 47c | 650$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Nava | 76c | 621.97$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Baez | 55c | 546.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Baez | 60c | 513$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Baez | 45c | 506.67$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Baez | 59c | 501.68$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Baez | 21c | 486.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Baez | 42c | 470.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.93 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Nava | 66c | 453.15$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Baez | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e42abacked Nava | 73c | 417.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Nava | 61c | 408.95$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baez | 43c | 406.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Baez | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…cb99backed Nava | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Baez | 39c | 390.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nava | 44c | 379.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Nava | 71c | 368.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Nava | 55c | 365.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nava | 63c | 346.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nava | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Baez | 20c | 333$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Baez | 37c | 322.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Baez | 15c | 319.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…e117backed Baez | 23c | 319.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Nava | 28c | 308.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Nava | 54c | 306.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Baez | 53c | 302.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nava | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Baez | 58c | 293.42$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Nava | 43c | 281.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Baez | 50c | 249.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nava | 46c | 246.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nava | 53c | 238.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nava | 60c | 232.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Baez | 44c | 229.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nava | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baez | 44c | 221.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Nava | 54c | 219.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nava | 34c | 211.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Baez | 43c | 204$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Baez | 50c | 202.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Baez | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Nava | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Baez | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…c526backed Baez | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…0f4cbacked Baez | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Baez | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Baez | 40c | 196.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Baez | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Nava | 60c | 180.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Nava | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Baez | 58c | 173.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Baez | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Nava vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nava vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.