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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MASONICof CSDIILIT, MASONIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…5977backed MASONIC47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.9957847.4%274 W · 304 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC65c2,188$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.513,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed CSDIILIT53c2,091$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.151,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked CSDIILIT54c2,001$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.3729855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed CSDIILIT29c1,579$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5261838.2%236 W · 382 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked MASONIC69c1,444$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.035653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed MASONIC78c1,277$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.443056.7%17 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed CSDIILIT53c1,188$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6497230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT29c1,014$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.132,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed CSDIILIT56c928.49$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.844555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed CSDIILIT17c786.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.31070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MASONIC45c749.86$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.4250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked CSDIILIT55c715.93$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3946968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked CSDIILIT53c683.79$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.094938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd7…215ebacked CSDIILIT44c635.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked CSDIILIT52c578$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.567343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked MASONIC48c548$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5736245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed CSDIILIT28c509.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.813144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed CSDIILIT53c499.95$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9797840.7%398 W · 580 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked MASONIC75c441.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.977467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b3…c6a5backed MASONIC47c433.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked CSDIILIT54c429$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2741150.6%208 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked MASONIC71c325.02$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.536746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed CSDIILIT49c319.04$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed CSDIILIT53c312.83$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.846443.1%200 W · 264 L+1.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked CSDIILIT23c293.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4122931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed CSDIILIT56c282.45$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0715442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed CSDIILIT53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.432844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ab…9a41backed MASONIC79c251.68$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed CSDIILIT53c251.05$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0615655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed MASONIC47c248.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.59433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed CSDIILIT55c231.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.429746.4%45 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa889…e4f8backed MASONIC46c207$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…00cdbacked CSDIILIT54c203$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked CSDIILIT53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10626553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe101…bc3bbacked CSDIILIT54c199$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed CSDIILIT53c198.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x328d…3566backed CSDIILIT31c196.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ef…e45bbacked MASONIC46c195$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…bbccbacked CSDIILIT55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed CSDIILIT39c161.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5943442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed CSDIILIT33c160$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0515151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed CSDIILIT16c155.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3521139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed CSDIILIT23c155.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.914030%12 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaaa6…f3b0backed MASONIC70c147.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9813675%102 W · 34 L+22.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5016…d658backed CSDIILIT13c140.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed MASONIC73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked CSDIILIT53c131.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.641,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed MASONIC47c128.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5522554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed MASONIC78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc972…affbbacked MASONIC75c125.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed CSDIILIT55c114.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6341234%140 W · 272 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed MASONIC67c111.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.877647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed MASONIC59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4135033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked CSDIILIT55c99.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.843050%15 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked CSDIILIT53c97.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.791560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed MASONIC63c95.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.593357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MASONIC77c93.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed CSDIILIT50c91.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.773644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked MASONIC46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.369137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed CSDIILIT55c79.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4418657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed CSDIILIT56c57.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219655.1%108 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked MASONIC71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.343860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5cd…9eddbacked CSDIILIT55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed CSDIILIT56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df1…54ccbacked CSDIILIT22c51.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked MASONIC65c45.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick71cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7aab…685dbacked MASONIC73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked CSDIILIT45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0691…3fe4backed CSDIILIT27c38.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.293253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed CSDIILIT53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b18…786ebacked CSDIILIT55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked MASONIC65c34.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.965145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed MASONIC74c33.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.922835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked MASONIC61c33.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.917834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…6220backed MASONIC47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked MASONIC63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7511747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc518…8d4dbacked MASONIC80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…592fbacked MASONIC78c28.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.26366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7159…7cfcbacked MASONIC79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ab…614bbacked MASONIC79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed MASONIC47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2511358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked MASONIC60c22.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.057625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91f2…e2d7backed MASONIC62c21.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a67…0355backed MASONIC74c21.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x232c…12d7backed CSDIILIT55c21.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed CSDIILIT51c20.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked MASONIC74c20.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed MASONIC58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.88,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked MASONIC74c19.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.193565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac3d…660cbacked MASONIC73c15.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed MASONIC79c13.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.