CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51b796adb0ea18da2ac88f95c192c59b4b3c58271bed21302264ab4a691a545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof CSDIILIT, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed CSDIILIT | 22c | 877$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 73c | 872.79$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 545$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…3566backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 284.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed MASONIC | 72c | 198.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed MASONIC | 69c | 175.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed CSDIILIT | 31c | 174.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed MASONIC | 75c | 166.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed MASONIC | 75c | 148.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed CSDIILIT | 11c | 139.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked CSDIILIT | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed MASONIC | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MASONIC | 77c | 52.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed CSDIILIT | 47c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked MASONIC | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed MASONIC | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed MASONIC | 73c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)MASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.