CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd51206f3e22b3bc786fc7de3f7c5a0af4ad90ae31e706507e9bf1e98dee8deba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof CSDIILIT, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 5,207$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 56c | 3,568$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked MASONIC | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.12 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked CSDIILIT | 3c | 556.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 446.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed CSDIILIT | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked CSDIILIT | 5c | 287.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MASONIC | 55c | 277$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed CSDIILIT | 55c | 228.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MASONIC | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MASONIC | 47c | 140.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed MASONIC | 57c | 105.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed CSDIILIT | 29c | 100.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed MASONIC | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked CSDIILIT | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked MASONIC | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MASONIC | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked MASONIC | 52c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…6645backed MASONIC | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…bfd5backed MASONIC | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked CSDIILIT | 24c | 44.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MASONIC | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…5f56backed MASONIC | 59c | 32.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed MASONIC | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed MASONIC | 56c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…8e45backed MASONIC | 70c | 23.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed MASONIC | 51c | 20.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)MASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.