CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af7c6306f8685f48e8d532ce0ba96cac90b8cc399bcfe7604eaef63a810720a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALGO Esportsof ALGO Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Lilmix | 26c | 7,690$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.38 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lilmix | 1c | 4,182$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 4,048$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.52 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Lilmix | 9c | 3,459$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.05 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lilmix | 14c | 3,201$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.11 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Lilmix | 43c | 2,399$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…93bfbacked Lilmix | 25c | 2,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed Lilmix | 33c | 1,931$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 1,459$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.46 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa037…2b2cbacked ALGO Esports | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Lilmix | 36c | 1,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…215ebacked Lilmix | 23c | 1,295$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 29c | 1,162$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…6815backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…0486backed Lilmix | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked ALGO Esports | 75c | 948.87$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.08 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…0a15backed Lilmix | 5c | 823.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ALGO Esports | 71c | 809.02$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Lilmix | 14c | 789.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lilmix | 6c | 753.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Lilmix | 12c | 721.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Lilmix | 16c | 684.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…3cc5backed ALGO Esports | 75c | 680$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec03…477dbacked ALGO Esports | 75c | 670$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…3751backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 650$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Lilmix | 15c | 582.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Lilmix | 39c | 489.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Lilmix | 16c | 448.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Lilmix | 5c | 423.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Lilmix | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed ALGO Esports | 11c | 304.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.54 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…7030backed Lilmix | 18c | 290.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Lilmix | 30c | 271.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…d658backed Lilmix | 18c | 263.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ALGO Esports | 67c | 234.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…6b1abacked Lilmix | 5c | 230.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Lilmix | 30c | 211.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Lilmix | 10c | 208.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed ALGO Esports | 76c | 175.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 161.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed ALGO Esports | 10c | 150$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…2640backed Lilmix | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Lilmix | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Lilmix | 22c | 124.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Lilmix | 32c | 113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed ALGO Esports | 72c | 110.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Lilmix | 14c | 107.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…432fbacked Lilmix | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed ALGO Esports | 73c | 96.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Lilmix | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Lilmix | 15c | 87.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…f3b1backed ALGO Esports | 71c | 83.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 15c | 79.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lilmix | 20c | 71.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6abbbacked ALGO Esports | 72c | 60.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Lilmix | 27c | 54.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ALGO Esports | 79c | 51.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Lilmix | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…6645backed ALGO Esports | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked ALGO Esports | 77c | 49.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ALGO Esports | 71c | 48.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ALGO Esports | 80c | 41.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed ALGO Esports | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…bd4dbacked Lilmix | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…688cbacked ALGO Esports | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Lilmix | 35c | 38.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…4756backed ALGO Esports | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked ALGO Esports | 74c | 29.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…8c0bbacked ALGO Esports | 80c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ALGO Esports | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed ALGO Esports | 73c | 28.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed ALGO Esports | 76c | 24.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…eb47backed ALGO Esports | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 78cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerALGO Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerALGO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.