TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Borgesof Thompson, Borges
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x979f…4032backed Borges60c35,804$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,203.8310162.4%63 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thompson36c12,016$4,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,348.232,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1027…966cbacked Thompson0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Thompson35c8,984$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.258825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thompson37c8,385$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.992,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Thompson37c6,509$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.3716242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Thompson37c6,084$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.2680938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Thompson36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Borges69c4,925$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.572,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Thompson23c4,923$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.075444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Borges65c4,737$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.9443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Thompson30c4,585$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.5699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Thompson37c4,560$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004346.5%20 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Borges64c4,199$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.524957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thompson23c3,649$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Thompson39c3,090$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20033137.2%123 W · 208 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Borges65c3,063$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.2726045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Borges63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Borges66c2,769$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.8633256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Borges71c2,695$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.7311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Borges69c2,609$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.0644754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Thompson26c2,219$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.024,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Borges48c2,089$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.561,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Thompson43c1,877$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Thompson35c1,736$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.631332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Thompson29c1,560$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.355232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f31…bc98backed Thompson40c1,509$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Thompson36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Borges63c1,346$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.172,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Borges63c1,318$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.6314940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Borges65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Borges59c1,175$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2567249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thompson24c1,156$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.298,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Borges62c1,068$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.841955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Borges48c1,035$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.951,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Thompson37c1,031$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.31,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Thompson31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Thompson37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Thompson40c999.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Thompson39c923$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6725428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Thompson22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Borges62c897.75$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1411647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Thompson38c881.52$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.319023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Thompson35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Borges62c800.51$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.733253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Borges73c785.04$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.522,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Thompson45c737.51$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7425722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Thompson35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Thompson28c634.36$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.043,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Borges65c547.82$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6814060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Thompson45c508.88$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22910043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Thompson37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Borges61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1957240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Thompson28c495.09$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.661,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Borges64c483$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8812439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Borges62c467.74$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Borges62c402$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7628835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Borges60c373.02$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0258859%347 W · 241 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Thompson39c352.28$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4811122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Thompson30c336.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7124844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Thompson37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037544.3%166 W · 209 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Borges62c317.32$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.529744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Borges58c310.71$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4413351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dab…4522backed Thompson59c288.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.23946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Thompson35c286.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Thompson35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Thompson37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ba…302bbacked Borges67c265.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Thompson35c257.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Thompson39c256.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Thompson39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Thompson12c241.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Thompson40c235.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Borges75c233.52$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0413834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Thompson21c219.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.984450%22 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Thompson44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Borges44c181.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2813461.9%83 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Borges73c178.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9314947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Borges66c175.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Borges64c168.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7837071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf1…6eb1backed Thompson47c160.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.22040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Borges65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Borges65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8519129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Borges66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Thompson35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Thompson10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Borges67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2510247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa085…96d5backed Thompson22c146.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1580%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Thompson31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532937.4%123 W · 206 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Borges64c137.45$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.483444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Thompson39c126.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges61c126$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.461,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Thompson36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Thompson33c124.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4135730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Borges49c123.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3316657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Borges65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0839850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5470…accfbacked Borges58c122.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Thompson44c112.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2735944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Thompson41c109$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Thompson23c108.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.