Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545b57db556e23656c0327915bba07772370dd02293f27937722cf2953955d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Thompson, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x979f…4032backed Borges | 60c | 35,804$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,203.83 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thompson | 36c | 12,016$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.23 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…966cbacked Thompson | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Thompson | 35c | 8,984$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.25 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thompson | 37c | 8,385$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.99 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thompson | 37c | 6,509$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.37 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Thompson | 37c | 6,084$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.26 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thompson | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Borges | 69c | 4,925$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.57 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Thompson | 23c | 4,923$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.07 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Borges | 65c | 4,737$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.94 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Thompson | 30c | 4,585$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Thompson | 37c | 4,560$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Borges | 64c | 4,199$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thompson | 23c | 3,649$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Thompson | 39c | 3,090$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Borges | 65c | 3,063$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.27 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Borges | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Borges | 66c | 2,769$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.86 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borges | 71c | 2,695$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.73 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Borges | 69c | 2,609$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.06 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thompson | 26c | 2,219$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.02 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Borges | 48c | 2,089$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.56 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Thompson | 43c | 1,877$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thompson | 35c | 1,736$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.6 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Thompson | 29c | 1,560$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.35 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…bc98backed Thompson | 40c | 1,509$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Thompson | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Borges | 63c | 1,346$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Borges | 63c | 1,318$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.63 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Borges | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Borges | 59c | 1,175$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.25 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thompson | 24c | 1,156$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Borges | 62c | 1,068$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.8 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Borges | 48c | 1,035$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.95 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thompson | 37c | 1,031$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Thompson | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Thompson | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Thompson | 40c | 999.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thompson | 39c | 923$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Thompson | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Borges | 62c | 897.75$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.14 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Thompson | 38c | 881.52$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Thompson | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Borges | 62c | 800.51$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Borges | 73c | 785.04$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Thompson | 45c | 737.51$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Thompson | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thompson | 28c | 634.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Borges | 65c | 547.82$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Thompson | 45c | 508.88$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thompson | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Borges | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thompson | 28c | 495.09$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Borges | 64c | 483$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Borges | 62c | 467.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Borges | 62c | 402$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Borges | 60c | 373.02$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 588 | 59%347 W · 241 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Thompson | 39c | 352.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thompson | 30c | 336.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Thompson | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Borges | 62c | 317.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Borges | 58c | 310.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Thompson | 59c | 288.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Thompson | 35c | 286.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thompson | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Thompson | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…302bbacked Borges | 67c | 265.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thompson | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Thompson | 39c | 256.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Thompson | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Thompson | 12c | 241.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Thompson | 40c | 235.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Borges | 75c | 233.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thompson | 21c | 219.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Thompson | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Borges | 44c | 181.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Borges | 73c | 178.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Borges | 66c | 175.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Borges | 64c | 168.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Thompson | 47c | 160.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Borges | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Borges | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…6ddbbacked Borges | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Thompson | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Thompson | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Borges | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…96d5backed Thompson | 22c | 146.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Thompson | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Borges | 64c | 137.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Thompson | 39c | 126.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges | 61c | 126$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed Thompson | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Thompson | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Borges | 49c | 123.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Borges | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Borges | 58c | 122.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Thompson | 44c | 112.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Thompson | 41c | 109$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Thompson | 23c | 108.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesthis page
- Thompson vs. Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.