Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f395724f2351d366e689160c37bb9bbc5f9eed5a43455e68a10492039742f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,423$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 39c | 1,297$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.58 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 65c | 1,028$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.27 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 668.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 427.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 372.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 64c | 336.69$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 64c | 305$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 61c | 270.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 34c | 197.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…b29ebacked Under | 40c | 195.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 181.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 58c | 168.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 132.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over | 37c | 116.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 67c | 115.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 53c | 91.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 61c | 81.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 76.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 64c | 68.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Over | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 38c | 60.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 68c | 58.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 61c | 57.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 33c | 47.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…7e61backed Over | 65c | 44.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Under | 39c | 39.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…dc56backed Under | 37c | 39.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 45c | 39.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 67c | 37.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 36.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…39e4backed Under | 39c | 32.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…d137backed Under | 38c | 26.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Over | 61c | 22.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…400dbacked Over | 63c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…3507backed Over | 64c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…911dbacked Over | 64c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…f53abacked Over | 61c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c6dabacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…1635backed Over | 64c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 68c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3e…22bfbacked Over | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x585d…d19ebacked Over | 68c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.