Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6b3df680ed86fd679b8d51c8ae009b4ad81359ff443a0b9e5b867139ca3b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 2,777$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,500$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 1,881$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.87 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 75c | 1,159$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 79c | 961.02$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 955.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 751.04$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 79c | 600$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 16c | 546.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 13c | 484.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 71c | 362.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 287.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 79c | 254.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 74c | 185.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…1591backed Over | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 138.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 79c | 124.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 71c | 119.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Under | 18c | 111.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 29c | 101.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 77c | 47.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0b…2ddebacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.