TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chelsea FCof Chelsea FC, Hull City AFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Chelsea FC58c30,454$17,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,790.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hull City AFC42c29,784$12,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,509.1527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Hull City AFC48c2,034$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.1513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Hull City AFC44c1,972$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.855851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC57c1,908$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Chelsea FC52c1,880$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.361,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Chelsea FC55c1,651$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.686229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC60c1,284$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chelsea FC55c1,063$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Chelsea FC59c924.15$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1715030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Hull City AFC48c899.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9933057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Hull City AFC43c588$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.843946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hull City AFC41c471.07$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.372,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Chelsea FC52c433$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.847040%28 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Hull City AFC43c413.68$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hull City AFC39c337.23$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.83941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Chelsea FC61c309$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5111047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Hull City AFC44c291.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0212324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Chelsea FC60c265.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6910736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hull City AFC48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hull City AFC48c239.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Chelsea FC64c237.65$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.171,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Chelsea FC59c225.68$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.813550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Chelsea FC52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966347.6%30 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Hull City AFC48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Chelsea FC56c178.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2635347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hull City AFC42c138.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Hull City AFC42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Hull City AFC43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hull City AFC49c107.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7522834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Chelsea FC59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec46…072dbacked Chelsea FC57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Chelsea FC52c98.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Hull City AFC48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hull City AFC48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Hull City AFC48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Hull City AFC48c95.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Hull City AFC48c95.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Hull City AFC48c95.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Hull City AFC48c81.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Chelsea FC63c80.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.47850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Hull City AFC48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f3…db3dbacked Chelsea FC52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Chelsea FC60c66.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Chelsea FC59c65.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.669627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Chelsea FC59c58.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0835056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hull City AFC39c58.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5431849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9201…6078backed Chelsea FC58c58.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Chelsea FC60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2240841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hull City AFC40c51.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Chelsea FC60c50.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…8975backed Chelsea FC49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+89.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Chelsea FC52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0615955.3%88 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Chelsea FC61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Chelsea FC52c48.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Hull City AFC48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0414560%87 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Hull City AFC48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0428458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Hull City AFC48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0425560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hull City AFC42c45.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9351516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cee…1ac0backed Hull City AFC41c43.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…67abbacked Chelsea FC59c43.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Chelsea FC58c43.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.089436.2%34 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Chelsea FC56c42.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.642853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Hull City AFC47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Chelsea FC62c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.583452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f41…1adebacked Chelsea FC62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Hull City AFC48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.226259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Chelsea FC63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6813561.5%83 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x313c…61d9backed Chelsea FC52c37.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Chelsea FC57c36.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.643933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Hull City AFC48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Hull City AFC48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Hull City AFC48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x839a…a5debacked Chelsea FC62c35.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Chelsea FC57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0511855.1%65 W · 53 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Hull City AFC47c33.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Hull City AFC48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3625858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Chelsea FC63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755250%26 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Chelsea FC60c30.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.373450%17 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Chelsea FC48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.628246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Hull City AFC43c29.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6915353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Hull City AFC48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4416558.8%97 W · 68 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Chelsea FC55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Hull City AFC45c27.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Chelsea FC52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Chelsea FC66c25.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7636554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a2…e49cbacked Chelsea FC52c22.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Hull City AFC49c21.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3419154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.