Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941072932575610e90ddb851b1e7d2ed6f6b0acec29914655cd18a7ae6ea8bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,920$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 51c | 1,760$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,603$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.74 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 51c | 951.73$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 450.04$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 12c | 335.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 54c | 275.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 215.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…4487backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 149.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…41bebacked Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Yes | 52c | 76.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 36c | 56.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 45c | 53.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 42.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…801ebacked Yes | 48c | 32.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 51c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 66c | 24.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked No | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.