TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c12,164$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.31,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes0c11,011$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c10,339$7,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.881,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes3c10,099$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.194318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8009845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No72c8,055$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.4819239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c8,005$5,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.3256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c7,638$5,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.422,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c6,907$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.52,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes28c6,481$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.85628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c5,839$4,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes24c5,685$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.6467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No72c5,350$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.032040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No73c4,829$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.836550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c4,100$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes2c4,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+112.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes4c3,364$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+85.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed Yes28c3,300$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9241020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No73c2,840$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.7310751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Yes0c2,748$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c2,160$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4c8bbacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes27c1,818$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c1,674$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c1,617$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.761,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes28c1,597$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.735151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c1,281$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes28c1,086$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes27c1,034$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.147047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No75c1,022$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No72c999.87$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.966759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…f201backed Yes3c999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.971020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No76c929.65$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.391,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7d…09dcbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes5c885.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No71c878.64$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.814250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes28c873$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No72c793.16$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No73c769.74$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.831675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes28c714.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No73c708.22$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.224052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214d…cd09backed Yes2c700$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes30c663.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16223350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59e…29babacked Yes28c539.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No73c536.3$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4721049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes28c509$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.528851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed No73c508$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.162867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1359739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9b…8504backed No73c493.15$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Yes4c491.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.588463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes12c466.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5445224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Yes3c465.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…65b4backed No73c438.36$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Yes3c399.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes28c389$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2916548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes28c380.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.456240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ce…3ae8backed Yes28c355.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes27c347.78$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.95328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbd…b5a1backed Yes29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Yes16c336.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes28c310$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.827227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes20c308.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9110341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8430050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3154…67f5backed Yes28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes28c271.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes28c265.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes12c259.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309043.3%39 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No78c256.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.994731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes28c243.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.198045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No77c232.47$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4719259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05aa…aca6backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+86.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No72c199.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes28c182.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Yes28c179$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.124533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.