TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c71,127$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.258531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes30c44,800$13,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,4215628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c25,116$17,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,534.892,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c14,736$10,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.172,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No71c11,199$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.6910057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c5,187$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.061,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.991758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed Yes28c4,902$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.461020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes29c4,803$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.8710246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes4c3,835$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd675…e9d4backed Yes29c3,673$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes1c3,369$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.43922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No72c3,178$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No70c2,400$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No70c2,400$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No72c2,066$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.157653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.982466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273f…56febacked Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed No71c1,310$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes10c1,299$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No70c951.63$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.499358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf720…7251backed No71c906.77$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No72c900.45$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.135750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c840.74$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes10c805.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c640$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No72c422.33$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.252272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4785…921ebacked No72c421.97$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes29c359.03$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.123040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes29c358.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.081936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No71c354$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.666737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes14c314.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4545224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8730050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b2…56febacked Yes11c298.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes30c286.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No70c270.08$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.025942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c261.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.681,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes9c249.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c224.91$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.472,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No73c224.62$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes12c220.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3910341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes9c209.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed No72c203.06$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6037557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes28c194.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No72c194.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.446550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Yes12c183.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.388463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c177$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.751,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e3…c9d0backed No72c175.69$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c172.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5c…7f36backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes28c137$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.362161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes15c134.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes28c133.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4939948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No71c105.61$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.637844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…48c1backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299460.6%57 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No70c83.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1346660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5818…a4bebacked Yes12c83.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99ef…6cecbacked No72c76.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d1…9daebacked Yes29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c73…2fabbacked Yes30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No72c65.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4510338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0a0…a60bbacked Yes30c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No72c63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.649053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…a107backed Yes30c63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…53f2backed Yes30c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.