TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$850,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$859,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $850,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No10c233,742$22,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,567.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No1c77,705$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.0327750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No56c74,967$41,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,981.667753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes44c35,153$15,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,656.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No0c27,544$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.65018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11c…b50dbacked Yes44c27,497$12,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,363.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c24,279$10,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,639.741,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No56c23,000$12,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,879.984240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c21,125$9,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,834.592,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No56c18,149$10,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,163.5516651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No56c14,202$7,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,953.1210057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No0c11,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.956240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No57c9,872$5,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,578.3210246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No7c9,239$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.6856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes45c8,367$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.176567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4801,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes44c7,702$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.275257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes44c7,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No56c7,450$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c7,182$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.582,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No56c7,083$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.529856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.675851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0f…5aabbacked No1c5,800$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes43c5,581$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.1685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c4,951$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.082,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No56c4,562$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.45939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No1c4,278$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.672437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No56c4,014$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24812847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No20c3,869$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c3,855$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.281,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No17c3,334$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.761,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes44c3,257$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.9114544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.997448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes44c2,947$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.077147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No57c2,727$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.4320246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes44c2,648$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Yes44c2,555$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No33c2,497$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.9316238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No3c2,394$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.442658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed Yes44c2,385$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.61241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+297%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ec…66f9backed No56c2,383$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No11c2,355$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0621049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.984643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes44c1,608$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.4872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c1,478$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes44c1,432$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.9230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes44c1,419$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.726145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes44c1,252$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.276437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6725044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes44c1,137$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.721747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6169042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c1,036$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No31c1,012$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked No12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes66c997.46$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes56c954$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0716548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes56c930$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes44c884.33$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.225850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No10c873.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.244930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked No56c870$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.22250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c709$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.931,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No56c699.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes44c682.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.313240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No35c669.58$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2525530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes44c632.78$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3633753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes50c603.91$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.914134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.246144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1826344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No56c549.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No32c505.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28023325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812d…8f72backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No57c482.78$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.199358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes44c467.11$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.582941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes44c467$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.523253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c4…6b13backed Yes51c453.59$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes44c451.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.933450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No57c440.42$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.044369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes45c427.49$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.128842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes45c406.24$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.