South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78aa184cb50031e7ced70bf711b642aa3855473544acb7d90d5c89df6e276932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 50c | 10,489$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.36 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.96 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 5,195$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 5,032$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 5,030$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.92 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 51c | 4,317$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 51c | 1,845$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 51c | 1,010$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.81 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 11c | 717.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 52c | 710$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 381.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 48c | 321.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 219.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 181.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 51c | 133.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 49c | 113.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 101.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 92.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 27c | 73.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…ca5bbacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…4c7abacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed No | 52c | 30.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked No | 52c | 24.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…2cfbbacked No | 51c | 22.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c6dabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…7684backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 78c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-02?No won
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.