TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$491,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over46c378,856$173,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,336.793930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under54c187,613$101,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,301.7625551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c53,903$31,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,831.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under54c50,450$27,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,206.963946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over43c29,994$12,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,897.4811149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c29,000$15,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,20035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c21,568$11,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,714.854,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under57c10,857$6,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,668.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over43c8,860$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.9219239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over43c7,750$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.4937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c7,010$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.382,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over42c4,995$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8407251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c3,891$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.491,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.772560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under54c3,333$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.1818259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e99…e794backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under73c1,883$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.541560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over42c1,829$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c1,690$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.9596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c1,652$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.5149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under61c1,573$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.081,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under55c994.66$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.614258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Over22c961.77$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.519156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under55c920$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4142962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over43c900$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over56c889.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over65c770.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over51c694.89$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.468050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under54c692.8$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c571.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.941,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under57c518.95$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.152240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Under77c499.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under56c447.53$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.899556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c409.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9536956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under54c406.52$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.074156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Under51c388.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Over46c385.35$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x717f…1501backed Over56c358.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…e3bdbacked Over4c358.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c352.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.531,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Under72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under57c311.37$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over44c308.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42f3…cecfbacked Over6c301.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270316.5%2 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c299.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.99348.8%3 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under57c266.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.84557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over39c258.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0a…a693backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over26c231.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e86…d720backed Over44c221.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8618646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over54c185.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002475%18 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under12c160$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.62917.2%5 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over60c159.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.272580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+43%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under11c150$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1334411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c140.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over40c137.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1912324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over41c131.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over44c115.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.984940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d9…5a08backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Under72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.113336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Under39c95.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-77.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9611850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under58c80.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.015048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Under57c80.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3637958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under55c79.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed3…655abacked Over44c79.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Over44c78.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over43c76.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c67.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under57c67.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over26c66.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3118139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under57c65.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.232454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over43c65.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.16527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Under77c65.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.219348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2733156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2746660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2736758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.