Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1baa9a6ebbc1b925cddf29d7938c519d767ea08928a068f4b5f826d183dd442b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,386$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.16 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Over | 65c | 730.94$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 540.94$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 447.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 75c | 413.09$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 411.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 382.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 32c | 349.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 290.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 33c | 290.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 38c | 268.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 27c | 232.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 58c | 229.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 215.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b8…2dd5backed Under | 42c | 180.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 160.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 64c | 150.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 35c | 147.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 52c | 105.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under | 59c | 101.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed Under | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…df3bbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 51c | 79.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 77.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 71.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Under | 44c | 45.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…c319backed Under | 38c | 39.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 39.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Over | 37c | 36.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 33.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…5964backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 31.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 64c | 28.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 63c | 27.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 25.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 24.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 56c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.