Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x964d847c8f45fe27f5c0a1c8877a0de7ea26a53e80e1f7de0312df55924792d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 26c | 12,366$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 5,891$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 78c | 1,608$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…2c56backed Over | 24c | 1,039$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 76c | 518.26$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 77c | 255.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Over | 23c | 176$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…f31ebacked Under | 71c | 165.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 19c | 156.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 147.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 29c | 130.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 72c | 52.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…f621backed Under | 76c | 43.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…ea39backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 75c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Under | 80c | 24.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 73c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 79c | 14.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Under | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.