NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a99784b393ad7288e6971e432bb81b44545225b9c95b17d61d636182906ecd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Jets, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.99 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 41c | 39,319$16,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,120.64 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jets | 23c | 15,991$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.9 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 79c | 15,930$12,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Jets | 43c | 8,995$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.83 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 41c | 8,856$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 58c | 7,290$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.33 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Jets | 18c | 6,987$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.87 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Jets | 43c | 4,666$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 15c | 3,443$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 59c | 3,222$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.92 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 57c | 3,219$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 56c | 2,896$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.44 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…549abacked Capitals | 57c | 2,533$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 66c | 2,521$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 8c | 2,406$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 23c | 2,260$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.83 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,984$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 76c | 1,835$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.09 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Jets | 41c | 1,766$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.05 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Capitals | 59c | 1,757$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Jets | 41c | 1,755$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Jets | 43c | 1,560$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Jets | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Capitals | 57c | 1,410$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.3 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 26c | 1,358$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 77c | 1,348$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…31a2backed Capitals | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 57c | 1,265$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.6 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 57c | 1,152$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.74 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,053$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 71c | 1,005$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.55 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Capitals | 57c | 749.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…06e1backed Jets | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…f352backed Jets | 41c | 650$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed Capitals | 59c | 649.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…9818backed Jets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 77c | 600$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Jets | 46c | 543.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Capitals | 57c | 510.04$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jets | 9c | 505.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 54c | 499$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf1…6916backed Jets | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…39ebbacked Jets | 41c | 482$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…0c52backed Jets | 41c | 470$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…4682backed Jets | 41c | 470$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 60c | 426$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Jets | 29c | 413.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Capitals | 60c | 403.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa8…debfbacked Jets | 25c | 403$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Capitals | 77c | 382.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 57c | 380.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 58c | 374.12$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jets | 22c | 366.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf761…dc39backed Capitals | 60c | 347.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…036ebacked Jets | 41c | 346.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…21a1backed Capitals | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…874abacked Capitals | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jets | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…c597backed Capitals | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…48bdbacked Capitals | 59c | 295$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Capitals | 74c | 290$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed Capitals | 59c | 290$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251a…79bdbacked Capitals | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Jets | 42c | 268.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Jets | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Capitals | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Capitals | 75c | 202.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Jets | 41c | 201.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 56c | 197.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Jets | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 57c | 195.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Capitals | 59c | 192$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…8772backed Capitals | 60c | 183.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…2bbebacked Jets | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…31e9backed Capitals | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Capitals | 67c | 173.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 167 | 66.5%111 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…5121backed Capitals | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Jets | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Jets | 30c | 149.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Jets | 42c | 146.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Capitals | 59c | 144.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 57c | 140.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed Capitals | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Capitals | 57c | 139.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Jets | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…bd0cbacked Jets | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 49c | 122.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…4c94backed Capitals | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Jets | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 18c | 105.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jets | 42c | 100.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 45c | 99.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Capitalsthis page
- Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.