TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over50c99,862$49,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,105.971,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c45,338$22,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,603.2188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c24,030$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,199.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c10,312$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.972,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under50c7,235$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.58536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c6,573$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.871,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Under50c4,266$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1333158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1522546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Under53c2,868$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.185641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c2,582$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.4189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Over49c2,190$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.613357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c1,943$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.491,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over51c1,529$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.4126946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over48c1,527$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8832451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over51c1,127$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.794339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Under53c1,104$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5856755.2%37 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over51c723.53$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5311354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under48c652.1$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.014938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under52c633.22$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2948956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over48c558.34$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440c…a4f1backed Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c443.98$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4349546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.166139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under50c333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.531148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Over48c254.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under50c235.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.961,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c228.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Over49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1037052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e61ebacked Over48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…67e6backed Over51c163.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7219844.4%88 W · 110 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d27…d430backed Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.064047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over48c146$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.382,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over36c145.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7410848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Over51c135.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2915347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c121$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.53650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c94.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1220145.8%92 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1234653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3313751.1%70 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under49c81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.589853.1%52 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c78.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8947249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6123249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over50c76.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3718159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under52c75.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.461,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec0…82ddbacked Over48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Under53c71.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.953145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a3…be41backed Over50c60.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ba…2aecbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.527334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.513049.2%64 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.386546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over51c42.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7121454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.719442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…439dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3658…614abacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under50c36.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9715647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6426448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6426348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6427148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.516443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7616048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44e3…6472backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.719645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.720447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.717552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.719848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.741650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.718946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.719745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.720045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fca…9696backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c26.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.260741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47753.2%41 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.