NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e01b8b790334741066d342e514f9323ac329eb555c69c648f159f63d42b762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 99,862$49,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,105.97 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 45,338$22,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,603.21 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 24,030$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 10,312$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 50c | 7,235$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.5 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 6,573$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.87 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Under | 50c | 4,266$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.15 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 53c | 2,868$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.18 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 2,582$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.41 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 49c | 2,190$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,943$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.49 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.41 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 48c | 1,527$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.88 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 51c | 1,127$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 53c | 1,104$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 51c | 723.53$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.53 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 48c | 652.1$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.01 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 633.22$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.1 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 558.34$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…a4f1backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 443.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked Over | 48c | 254.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 235.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 228.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e61ebacked Over | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…67e6backed Over | 51c | 163.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 146$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 36c | 145.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 78.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 50c | 76.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 52c | 75.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 53c | 71.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…be41backed Over | 50c | 60.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 51c | 42.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…439dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…614abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 50c | 36.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…6472backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…9696backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. CapitalsCapitals won
- Jets vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.